PDF⋙ The Concrete Blonde (A Harry Bosch Novel) by Michael Connelly

The Concrete Blonde (A Harry Bosch Novel) by Michael Connelly

The Concrete Blonde (A Harry Bosch Novel) by Michael Connelly PDF, ePub eBook D0wnl0ad

They call him the Dollmaker, a serial killer who stalks Los Angeles and leaves a grisly calling card on the faces of his female victims. When a suspect is shot by Detective Harry Bosch, everyone believes the city's nightmare is over. But then the dead man's widow sues Harry and the LAPD for killing the wrong man--an accusation that rings terrifyingly true when a new corpse is found with the Dollmaker's macabre signature. Now, for the second time, Harry must hunt down a ruthless death-dealer before he strikes again. Careening through a blood-tracked quest, Harry will go from the hard edges of the L.A. night to the last place he ever wanted to go--the darkness of his own heart...

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PDF⋙ Alexandrina: The Agony and The Glory by Francis Johnston

Alexandrina: The Agony and The Glory by Francis Johnston

Alexandrina: The Agony and The Glory by Francis Johnston PDF, ePub eBook D0wnl0ad

A Portuguese victim soul; crippled jumping from a window to escape a rapist; she suffered the Passion of Christ on Fridays; spoke with Our Lord; and ate nothing save Communion her last 13 years. D. 1955. Fascinating! 120 pgs 29 photos; PB

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PDF⋙ You Know They're Here by Paul J. Kenyon

You Know They're Here by Paul J. Kenyon

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"You Know They're Here" is a true story of actual events of a haunted house experienced by this author in the mid-seventies. A family with four children was eventually driven from their home after an unsuccessful exorcism was performed to cleanse their house of unwanted spirits. Kenyon befriended the Dandy family and initially became an evening 'guard' helping to keep the curious from trespassing on their property. The events he experienced for more than a year heightened his sense of the paranormal to frightening levels. For a time, Paul, being the aggressor toward the energies of the house, held the interest of one of the more malevolent entities. "You Know They're Here" will have you sleeping with the lights on and have you second guessing your beliefs of the spirit world.

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PDF⋙ Cathedrals and Churches : Adult Coloring Book Vol.4: Cathedral Sketches for Coloring (Wonderful Churchs Around The World Series) by Alicia Lasley

Cathedrals and Churches : Adult Coloring Book Vol.4: Cathedral Sketches for Coloring (Wonderful Churchs Around The World Series) by Alicia Lasley

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Cathedrals and Churches : Adult Coloring Book Vol.4 Cathedral Sketches for Coloring This Coloring Book is a part of Wonderful Cathedrals and Churches Around The World Series This collection of Beautiful Cathedrals and Churches around the world will captivate and excite all adult Colorists. This Book Contains : - Over 40 Sketches of Famous Cathedrals and Churches for coloring - Designed Both in Portrait and Landscape pages - Printed on the front of Pages only for easy coloring and displaying. You don't Need to worry about bleed-through if you use markers or fine-tip pens. Enjoy!

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PDF⋙ Financial Risk Forecasting: The Theory and Practice of Forecasting Market Risk with Implementation in R and Matlab (The Wiley Finance Series) by Jon Danielsson

Financial Risk Forecasting: The Theory and Practice of Forecasting Market Risk with Implementation in R and Matlab (The Wiley Finance Series) by Jon Danielsson

Financial Risk Forecasting: The Theory and Practice of Forecasting Market Risk with Implementation in R and Matlab (The Wiley Finance Series) by Jon Danielsson PDF, ePub eBook D0wnl0ad

Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques.

Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated.

Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book.

The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing.

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PDF⋙ LSAT Preptest 76 Explanations: (October 2015 LSAT, LSAT 76) (LSAT Hacks) by Graeme Blake

LSAT Preptest 76 Explanations: (October 2015 LSAT, LSAT 76) (LSAT Hacks) by Graeme Blake

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The LSAT doesn't come with explanations. Even when you know the answer it's hard to figure out why you were wrong. Sometimes you still aren't sure about questions you got right.

This book gives you the explanations that should have come with LSAT PrepTest 76, the October 2015 LSAT. Graeme Blake, an expert LSAT tutor, walks you through every question and every answer choice. You'll learn the best way to approach hard questions.

This book helps you read the minds of the test-writers, and see why each answer is right or wrong. You'll also find step by step diagrams for every Logic Game, and you'll see the conclusion and reasoning of every argument in the Logical Reasoning Section.

Author's Note: You'll need your own copy of LSAT Preptest 76 to use these explanations.

I could have included the LSAT Questions, but you would have paid $12 more to make up the difference in print + licensing costs. I wanted to make these explanations as affordable as possible. Enjoy! - Graeme

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PDF⋙ Everything You Need to Know About Being a Teen Driver (Need to Know Library) by Adam Winters

Everything You Need to Know About Being a Teen Driver (Need to Know Library) by Adam Winters

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Book by Winters, Adam

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PDF⋙ Colossians As Pseudepigraphy (Biblical Seminar, 4) by Mark Christopher Kiley

Colossians As Pseudepigraphy (Biblical Seminar, 4) by Mark Christopher Kiley

Colossians As Pseudepigraphy (Biblical Seminar, 4) by Mark Christopher Kiley PDF, ePub eBook D0wnl0ad

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PDF⋙ Individualism Old and New (Great Books in Philosophy) by John Dewey

Individualism Old and New (Great Books in Philosophy) by John Dewey

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America's most renowned social philosopher John Dewey shines his powerful intellect on the serious public and cultural issues surrounding the place of the individual in a technologically advanced society. In this penetrating study, he addresses the fear that personal creative potential will be trampled by assembly-line monotony, political bureaucracy, and an industrialized culture of uniformity. Armed with his pragmatic approach and his belief in the power of critical intelligence, Dewey argues that individualism has in fact been offered a uniquely higher plane of technological development upon which to grow, mature, and redefine itself.

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